Arb4arb4

@Arb4arb4

#83,29767

0xf02b9cf9ed302238551670672064b5a879384e65

~70d· 324 markets · 415 tradesVol: $139,332 @FernandaMa102782026-10-08 03:10:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (211/319)18.1/20
1.84x (win $2,088 / loss $1,136)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.09215/15
Sortino 3.40310/10
$+0.0142 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 6941 (319 markets)0/10
49/65 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 105% of peak ($1,004 / $958)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+953
Whale
$67,083 invested
Consistent
49/65 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,490,893$-57Vol: $121,356
⚽ SPORTS#37,528$1,022Vol: $13,633
🎭 CULTURE#571,592$-2Vol: $1,962
₿ CRYPTO#1,286,512$-21Vol: $1,410
💰 FINANCE#418,798$-0Vol: $544
💻 TECH#42,992$1Vol: $274
📈 ECONOMICS#137,496$1Vol: $145
🌤️ WEATHER#134,932$0Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$943
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,332
Total Redeem
$85
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
324
total markets
Trades
355B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$71
Vol: $109
Month
$-4
Vol: $109
All Time
$943
Vol: $139,332

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
211W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$953
Win Rate
66%
211W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,003 (2.1028014820879384% of PnL)

Top Winners

Red Wings vs. Sabres$1,960
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$32
Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?$12
Nuggets vs. Kings$3
TikTok sale announced before April?$3
Falcons vs. Raiders$2
Ravens vs. Steelers$2
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs$1
Cavaliers vs. Pacers$1
Jets vs. Cardinals$1

Top Losers

Padres vs. Cubs$-492
Celtics vs. Knicks$-440
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$-53
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$-32
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-20
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-6
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-5
Kalshi stops offering sports event contracts in Massachusetts by Jan 31?$-2
Rangers vs. Wild$-2
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.088
HHI
6268
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
64.3%
Half-Kelly
32.1%
Top-1 market
78.7%
Top-5 markets
93.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.1m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.31
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)11%
High (>55c)86.8%

Sessions

#12
11/8/2024, 8:44:25 PM51 trades$70,81325 min
11/8/2024, 9:23:29 PM20 trades$43,67015 min
12/19/2024, 11:26:14 PM4 trades$5,0876 min
10/22/2025, 8:53:41 AM1 trades$2,0400 min
1/14/2025, 7:45:07 PM1 trades$6900 min
1/11/2025, 11:51:17 PM1 trades$6500 min
2/13/2025, 2:13:41 AM1 trades$5200 min
10/1/2025, 8:17:07 AM1 trades$4920 min
5/16/2025, 7:10:12 AM1 trades$4400 min
10/2/2025, 12:50:17 AM5 trades$1101 min
8/2/2025, 5:33:08 AM2 trades$1060 min
1/14/2026, 9:04:24 AM5 trades$1034 min
10/1/2025, 6:39:27 AM1 trades$1010 min
2/1/2026, 11:52:48 PM1 trades$1010 min
2/7/2026, 1:08:27 PM2 trades$1000 min
2/23/2026, 5:30:08 AM14 trades$1008 min
7/3/2026, 4:40:29 AM2 trades$940 min
8/1/2026, 9:16:14 AM2 trades$900 min
3/8/2026, 2:46:21 PM2 trades$881 min
5/23/2026, 9:55:10 AM8 trades$882 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
01-11
04-09
09-03
01-14
03-04
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M11 / H86.8