Alicia

@Alicia

#4,14789

0xf1899a30a2c016941bf4abd77b900ecacd768e47

~555d· 773 markets · 9674 tradesVol: $4,138,4252026-08-06 07:56:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (512/758)18.8/20
1.93x (win $115,911 / loss $60,195)14.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.71215/15
Sortino 4.19310/10
$+0.0320 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 100 (758 markets)10/10
236/344 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($11,530 / $58,434)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+42,095
DCA Master
Avg 12.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,742,144 invested
Consistent
236/344 profitable days
High Roller
$1,842/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#3,454$11,191Vol: $1,305,967
💰 FINANCE#328$16,179Vol: $778,402
🎭 CULTURE#1,187$6,796Vol: $498,642
💻 TECH#251,562$-134Vol: $417,050
📈 ECONOMICS#2,209$1,677Vol: $370,431
₿ CRYPTO#11,083$4,310Vol: $347,928
⚽ SPORTS#1,779,664$-348Vol: $224,126
🌤️ WEATHER#831$2,338Vol: $89,117
📢 MENTIONS#69,489$-0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$42,095
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,138,425
Total Redeem
$2,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
773
total markets
Trades
5232B / 4442S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~555d

Periods

#2
Today
$176
Vol: $0
Week
$820
Vol: $16,478
Month
$1,031
Vol: $25,826
All Time
$42,095
Vol: $4,138,425

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
512W / 245L events
Realized PnL
$42,095
Win Rate
68%
512W / 245L
Profit Factor
1.93x
Avg Win
$226
Avg Loss
$-307

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,883 (0.4248135179307855% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,960
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?$6,015
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4,907
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$4,213
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$4,020
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4,000
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?$3,757
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$3,078
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$2,580
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?$2,542

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$-8,601
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-8,170
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-3,761
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-2,923
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-2,455
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-2,442
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$-2,006
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,000
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$-1,705
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$-1,544

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.142
Sortino
0.122
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 726s — normal for humanCV 3.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)59.2%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 11:00:02 AM4 trades$52,8301 min
6/3/2025, 11:46:26 AM8 trades$45,9465 min
6/3/2025, 11:20:40 AM4 trades$34,1525 min
3/1/2026, 2:12:49 AM4 trades$28,6271 min
6/3/2025, 2:36:52 PM1 trades$23,0670 min
4/17/2025, 4:20:26 PM2 trades$21,9241 min
12/15/2025, 2:20:43 PM1 trades$21,4720 min
12/13/2025, 7:18:57 PM1 trades$21,2520 min
10/21/2025, 3:38:53 PM1 trades$19,7600 min
7/11/2025, 7:49:42 AM1 trades$19,7200 min
12/15/2025, 3:40:53 PM2 trades$19,3200 min
5/4/2026, 11:05:20 AM1 trades$19,3000 min
10/1/2025, 3:51:13 AM1 trades$19,2000 min
5/18/2026, 11:49:06 AM1 trades$18,2000 min
5/7/2026, 8:43:27 AM1 trades$18,1080 min
5/18/2026, 3:02:14 PM1 trades$18,0000 min
6/3/2025, 9:20:10 AM4 trades$17,4390 min
5/4/2026, 2:36:48 PM7 trades$16,3286 min
6/3/2025, 2:58:06 PM10 trades$15,46810 min
11/15/2025, 7:02:28 AM33 trades$15,16428 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
04-30
07-09
10-18
07-19
02-19
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M13.2 / H59.2