@richsmith
#3,130,643390xf2088ef95f5c1c0eee2640e8da537d6a1c175eef
~114d· 267 markets · 1465 tradesVol: $799,2512026-09-24 04:22:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
69% (177/256)19.6/20
0.92x (win $37,012 / loss $40,201)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2720/15
Sortino -0.4060/10
$-0.0194 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 360 (256 markets)10/10
47/75 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 123% of peak ($17,103 / $13,915)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 69%
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Whale
$164,158 invested
Consistent
47/75 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Categories
8📈 ECONOMICS#697,564$-4,139Vol: $405,098
🏛️ POLITICS#19,700$875Vol: $169,472
💰 FINANCE#665,548$-4,447Vol: $92,971
🎭 CULTURE#4,508$1,173Vol: $53,740
₿ CRYPTO#1,586,800$-268Vol: $48,810
💻 TECH#1,624$867Vol: $17,391
⚽ SPORTS#140,458$70Vol: $9,274
📢 MENTIONS#6,485$89Vol: $2,445
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,754
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$799,251
Total Redeem
$6,102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
267
total markets
Trades
839B / 626S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$188
Vol: $7,722
Month
$398
Vol: $292,321
All Time
$-5,754
Vol: $799,251
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
69%
177W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-3,779
Win Rate
69%
177W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$209
Avg Loss
$-522
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,582 (7.033651912533604% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17,931
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$6,751
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1,900
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1,520
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1,259
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$748
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$697
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$613
US government shutdown Saturday?$583
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$566
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-15,560
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-5,227
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-4,003
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-3,355
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$-2,362
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$-1,581
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-1,414
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?$-1,173
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$-1,007
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-844
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
317
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
28.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.52
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)63.1%
Sessions
#127/1/2026, 4:11:44 PM4 trades$10,3930 min
7/10/2026, 3:58:43 PM7 trades$10,1982 min
4/29/2026, 2:20:14 PM2 trades$10,0490 min
1/30/2026, 3:45:28 PM18 trades$9,67314 min
1/28/2026, 5:57:52 PM2 trades$9,6480 min
5/28/2026, 10:05:31 PM34 trades$7,5201 min
5/23/2026, 4:58:09 PM19 trades$5,7556 min
4/15/2026, 9:34:46 PM35 trades$5,4058 min
7/9/2026, 3:00:01 PM26 trades$5,2058 min
10/28/2025, 1:37:29 PM19 trades$4,98610 min
3/31/2026, 7:05:51 PM23 trades$4,75910 min
6/17/2026, 4:54:28 PM14 trades$4,2300 min
1/7/2026, 8:32:05 PM1 trades$4,1620 min
1/12/2026, 4:00:38 PM1 trades$3,7960 min
10/27/2025, 2:11:23 AM2 trades$3,7134 min
1/30/2026, 6:24:06 PM1 trades$3,6890 min
10/30/2025, 8:34:43 PM5 trades$3,5838 min
2/7/2026, 9:53:45 PM1 trades$3,5000 min
1/30/2026, 4:21:44 PM14 trades$3,4424 min
1/5/2026, 2:39:27 PM2 trades$3,1555 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
11-11
12-03
02-03
04-15
05-15
06-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M24.3 / H63.1