@hugoops

#2,910,4393

0xf52a78c0f0933b20c0c7d9727a13ff68013fe276

~73d· 118 markets · 819 tradesVol: $226,6852026-09-29 09:39:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (31/97)1/20
0.47x (win $3,414 / loss $7,193)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6930/15
Sortino -4.1120/10
$-0.3446 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2857 (97 markets)0/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 12442% of peak ($5,110 / $41)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#9,006$172Vol: $120,575
🏛️ POLITICS#127,669$23Vol: $49,915
₿ CRYPTO#1,616,346$-390Vol: $26,667
⚽ SPORTS#1,446,148$-17Vol: $24,608
💰 FINANCE#638,103$-92Vol: $2,430
🎭 CULTURE#795,895$-142Vol: $2,302

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-462
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$226,685
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
469B / 350S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-312
Vol: $2,912
All Time
$-462
Vol: $226,685

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
31W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$-877
Win Rate
32%
31W / 66L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-160

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,402 (2.739940234499749% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed rate hike in 2026?$1,213
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$607
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$582
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?$234
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$145
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$62
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$58
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$52

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,918
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,530
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-720
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-675
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-349
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-335
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$-200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-128
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-123
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.191
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
1870
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.237
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
88.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.6
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48%
Mid (20-55c)12.2%
High (>55c)39.9%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 10:53:32 AM22 trades$13,4082 min
5/30/2026, 2:03:08 PM25 trades$11,1320 min
5/29/2026, 6:13:22 PM4 trades$6,1472 min
5/29/2026, 6:00:39 PM6 trades$3,0544 min
5/13/2026, 1:24:43 PM21 trades$1,4310 min
5/26/2026, 2:28:20 PM34 trades$1,3403 min
7/7/2026, 11:47:16 AM3 trades$9210 min
5/14/2026, 6:09:32 AM89 trades$88527 min
5/5/2026, 1:50:14 PM14 trades$8640 min
6/28/2026, 11:16:23 PM2 trades$7333 min
9/11/2026, 3:44:00 PM23 trades$7007 min
6/1/2026, 3:36:52 PM4 trades$7001 min
5/31/2026, 2:27:49 PM2 trades$7000 min
7/1/2026, 1:28:04 AM3 trades$6805 min
5/13/2026, 4:46:26 PM37 trades$6537 min
5/3/2026, 10:32:04 AM17 trades$5720 min
5/28/2026, 4:18:27 PM2 trades$5000 min
5/29/2026, 8:59:12 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/27/2026, 8:51:45 AM6 trades$4861 min
6/30/2026, 11:22:14 AM1 trades$4220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-29
06-06
07-01
07-11
07-27
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48 / M12.2 / H39.9