@poooly

#2,816,85510

0xf631fbda0c03721d683e91fb0c75176993b41d27

~13d· 34 markets · 118 tradesVol: $13,2042026-10-04 16:52:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (13/34)4.1/20
0.52x (win $238 / loss $461)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0760/15
Sortino -4.6560/10
$-0.0609 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2461 (34 markets)0.2/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 264% of peak ($361 / $137)0/10

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#9,510$158Vol: $4,759
💰 FINANCE#648,690$-156Vol: $3,028
💻 TECH#252,442$-27Vol: $1,742
🏛️ POLITICS#1,364,024$-17Vol: $1,441
🎭 CULTURE#803,772$-201Vol: $1,048
₿ CRYPTO#951,540$-3Vol: $437
⚽ SPORTS#1,151,430$-3Vol: $408
📢 MENTIONS#13,755$23Vol: $236
🌤️ WEATHER#257,910$-17Vol: $105

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,204
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
68B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
13W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-244
Win Rate
38%
13W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $208 (0.8534556925724118% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-China trade deal before June?$159
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$27
Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?$23
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$4
Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?$3
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$3
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$2
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1

Top Losers

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?$-202
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-191
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$-21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?$-17
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$-8
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$-5
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)$-3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 16?$-2
Sam Altman arrested before July?$-2
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.203
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
2391
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.8%
Top-5 markets
76.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2025, 8:01:52 PM3 trades$6134 min
8/27/2026, 5:41:21 PM6 trades$4520 min
5/13/2025, 7:54:30 PM3 trades$4422 min
5/14/2025, 2:35:44 PM6 trades$4283 min
5/12/2025, 9:15:06 AM2 trades$3621 min
5/11/2025, 10:21:12 PM1 trades$3550 min
5/11/2025, 10:29:58 PM9 trades$35510 min
5/11/2025, 7:44:56 PM2 trades$2625 min
5/11/2025, 8:51:26 PM1 trades$2500 min
5/11/2025, 6:28:50 PM7 trades$2443 min
5/15/2025, 3:27:00 AM1 trades$2210 min
5/11/2025, 7:54:50 PM3 trades$2062 min
5/10/2025, 8:08:02 PM2 trades$2012 min
5/31/2025, 9:15:57 AM1 trades$1910 min
5/11/2025, 6:17:46 PM1 trades$1640 min
5/10/2025, 6:05:13 PM2 trades$1641 min
5/11/2025, 6:12:10 PM1 trades$1630 min
5/11/2025, 11:49:18 PM5 trades$1562 min
5/11/2025, 11:59:18 PM2 trades$1560 min
5/11/2025, 6:40:02 PM1 trades$1460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-10
05-11
05-12
05-13
05-15
05-31
06-16
02-17
03-17
08-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M26.5 / H54.4