imshelest

@imshelest

#2,977,82023

0xf9c7d3401bde38430d4fb65bedefb3a378edd022

~55d· 82 markets · 397 tradesVol: $111,740 @imshelest2026-10-08 03:51:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (34/77)7.1/20
0.60x (win $2,552 / loss $4,236)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4160/15
Sortino -2.7130/10
$-0.0341 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 613 (77 markets)9.4/10
20/36 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 4576% of peak ($2,183 / $48)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#5,470$682Vol: $63,283
₿ CRYPTO#1,672,440$-1,021Vol: $26,020
🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,592$-126Vol: $16,284
⚽ SPORTS#1,757,040$-148Vol: $5,456
📈 ECONOMICS#18,759$47Vol: $450
🎭 CULTURE#672,430$-7Vol: $128
📢 MENTIONS#169,269$-100Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-672
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,740
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
176B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$54
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $4,521
All Time
$-672
Vol: $111,740

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
34W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-672
Win Rate
45%
34W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,459 (2.170675472652357% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$924
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$325
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$211
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$198
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$148
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$111
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$97
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$83
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$64
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$53

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-1,776
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-288
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$-262
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-199
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-199
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-142
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$-104
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
646
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
46.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 9:00:35 AM2 trades$3,9680 min
12/22/2025, 4:23:41 PM3 trades$3,5552 min
12/9/2025, 7:37:51 AM2 trades$3,4920 min
12/19/2025, 10:45:38 AM3 trades$3,4391 min
4/14/2026, 5:07:38 PM15 trades$3,1970 min
7/19/2026, 4:38:18 PM22 trades$2,9345 min
4/14/2026, 4:56:52 PM16 trades$2,7270 min
7/23/2026, 2:02:33 PM16 trades$2,7201 min
12/22/2025, 2:10:45 PM2 trades$2,6571 min
4/14/2026, 4:11:37 PM37 trades$2,6031 min
1/29/2026, 12:21:12 PM2 trades$2,4151 min
11/29/2025, 8:26:29 AM7 trades$2,4094 min
11/28/2025, 1:51:11 PM2 trades$2,4022 min
6/21/2026, 2:48:20 PM3 trades$2,1620 min
1/5/2026, 4:13:59 PM2 trades$2,0701 min
12/27/2025, 1:21:05 PM2 trades$2,0481 min
12/19/2025, 12:30:00 PM2 trades$1,9980 min
1/14/2026, 10:59:16 AM2 trades$1,9720 min
12/19/2025, 12:44:48 PM2 trades$1,9282 min
7/24/2026, 8:02:10 PM2 trades$1,7950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
11-21
11-29
01-14
03-19
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M19.3 / H68.8