@polca

#3,169,18137

0xf9f45e388d4ad7d9f3364e69c5713bc513a32fe3

~28d· 37 markets · 285 tradesVol: $257,8012026-10-04 15:47:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (20/23)20/20
0.10x (win $1,803 / loss $17,578)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6540/15
Sortino -7.8880/10
$-0.1368 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1161 (23 markets)6.7/10
7/10 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($15,775 / $0)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 87%
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$115,324 invested
Consistent
7/10 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,725,310$-6,107Vol: $135,453
🏛️ POLITICS#1,649,566$-10,021Vol: $116,098
🎭 CULTURE#27,180$63Vol: $6,250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,065
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,801
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
149B / 136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-98
Vol: $0
Week
$47
Vol: $1,895
Month
$-55
Vol: $5,367
All Time
$-16,065
Vol: $257,801

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
20W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-15,766
Win Rate
87%
20W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$90
Avg Loss
$-5,859

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,198 (0.0759806875310003% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$780
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$248
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$170
Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?$159
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$113
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$65
Weed rescheduled in 2025?$63
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$49
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?$25
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$25

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-11,214
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-6,084
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-280

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.430
Sortino
-0.310
HHI
819
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
55.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 306s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)58.4%

Sessions

#12
12/20/2025, 11:27:58 AM5 trades$24,1034 min
12/2/2025, 11:39:43 PM1 trades$13,3440 min
3/13/2026, 2:42:13 PM1 trades$11,2000 min
5/9/2026, 8:47:07 AM36 trades$10,7681 min
12/21/2025, 1:30:59 AM5 trades$9,2804 min
11/26/2025, 9:28:13 AM2 trades$8,4573 min
3/14/2026, 7:33:49 AM5 trades$7,6752 min
3/13/2026, 2:49:03 PM2 trades$7,4681 min
3/13/2026, 7:27:15 PM3 trades$7,4344 min
3/13/2026, 4:15:19 PM4 trades$6,0426 min
12/20/2025, 1:53:54 PM4 trades$5,9066 min
11/28/2025, 6:25:33 AM4 trades$5,0720 min
3/28/2026, 2:41:47 PM1 trades$3,7760 min
3/27/2026, 11:28:05 PM1 trades$2,9070 min
11/26/2025, 8:53:31 AM4 trades$2,8130 min
8/28/2026, 8:35:57 AM26 trades$1,8232 min
11/26/2025, 9:42:51 AM3 trades$1,3764 min
12/17/2025, 11:07:18 AM2 trades$1,3211 min
12/20/2025, 2:12:34 PM2 trades$1,1360 min
3/28/2026, 3:05:43 PM1 trades$1,0560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
12-17
12-20
12-21
03-11
03-13
03-14
03-28
03-29
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M30.9 / H58.4