@pnewton

#1,916,81461

0xfc5e69e1e9993528e1d7d19cb4d85bceb9fb57d6

~192d· 86 markets · 296 tradesVol: $19,2392026-10-08 04:00:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (7/59)0/20
11.99x (win $86 / loss $7)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.32015/15
Sortino 103.24310/10
$+0.0135 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 218 (59 markets)10/10
7/59 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($7 / $79)10/10

Badges

2
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,210,508$-7Vol: $9,472
⚽ SPORTS#1,181,123$-4Vol: $6,658
🎭 CULTURE#485,066$-1Vol: $1,265
📈 ECONOMICS#348,762$-0Vol: $1,025
₿ CRYPTO#780,725$-0Vol: $760
📢 MENTIONS#59,782$0Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
141B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $523
All Time
$-12
Vol: $19,239

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
7W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
12%
7W / 52L
Profit Factor
11.99x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $86 (7.345064377682404% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?$0
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0

Top Losers

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?$-2
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$-1
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$-0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-0
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
5.543
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
10.2%
Half-Kelly
5.1%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62594s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)86.5%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 5:41:35 AM4 trades$1100 min
5/31/2026, 7:35:32 PM4 trades$1081 min
9/14/2026, 8:42:33 PM4 trades$1081 min
6/30/2026, 8:56:50 AM4 trades$1061 min
8/20/2026, 12:03:16 AM4 trades$1040 min
6/12/2026, 3:06:42 AM6 trades$723 min
6/21/2025, 1:21:30 AM1 trades$670 min
6/22/2025, 2:26:24 AM1 trades$670 min
6/9/2026, 7:58:00 PM4 trades$671 min
6/24/2025, 3:47:21 PM1 trades$660 min
6/30/2025, 5:25:50 PM1 trades$660 min
6/11/2025, 6:10:57 AM1 trades$660 min
6/12/2025, 12:57:21 PM1 trades$660 min
7/1/2025, 3:14:59 PM1 trades$650 min
7/2/2025, 8:28:23 AM1 trades$650 min
6/23/2025, 4:15:53 AM1 trades$650 min
7/5/2025, 7:37:51 PM1 trades$650 min
6/23/2025, 9:39:07 PM1 trades$640 min
7/9/2025, 9:43:12 AM1 trades$640 min
8/1/2025, 3:37:46 AM1 trades$640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
07-18
08-23
10-22
11-23
12-30
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 228 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M0 / H86.5