DiscoDed

@DiscoDed

#3,153,25322

0xfc695b0a9e369546d92cee09699771e564ab166b

~90d· 47 markets · 1257 tradesVol: $2,513,6082026-09-23 11:00:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (18/40)7.5/20
0.33x (win $42,744 / loss $130,246)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7510/15
Sortino -4.7400/10
$-0.1543 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 715 (40 markets)8.9/10
14/27 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($87,502 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 29.4 entries/market
Whale
$567,237 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648,154$-31,601Vol: $1,409,641
₿ CRYPTO#5,060$9,364Vol: $1,093,665
🎭 CULTURE#0$0Vol: $10,000
💻 TECH#263,863$-238Vol: $302

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,475
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,513,608
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
669B / 588S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-70,799
Vol: $85,526
All Time
$-22,475
Vol: $2,513,608

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
18W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-22,712
Win Rate
45%
18W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$2,375
Avg Loss
$-5,920

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,990 (1.1883649130716958% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$10,366
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$8,375
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$8,249
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?$3,745
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$3,353
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 14?$2,298
Solana all time high before 2026?$2,148
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?$1,212
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$1,207
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$514

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-58,774
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-20,774
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-12,008
Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$-8,034
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-7,604
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in December?$-7,554
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-7,137
House control after 2024 election?$-1,806
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on November 14?$-1,762
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$-1,407

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.191
HHI
461
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.193
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.5m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 4.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)36.6%

Sessions

#12
11/4/2024, 12:59:19 PM4 trades$87,2086 min
6/9/2026, 5:05:34 PM19 trades$78,3710 min
11/4/2024, 11:56:55 AM3 trades$55,7675 min
11/6/2024, 1:23:59 AM34 trades$52,21917 min
11/4/2024, 10:52:13 AM5 trades$39,84913 min
11/4/2024, 1:12:43 PM6 trades$37,32612 min
11/6/2024, 1:11:33 AM9 trades$35,7796 min
11/29/2024, 4:49:40 PM6 trades$34,32411 min
11/4/2024, 12:18:59 PM6 trades$30,1448 min
6/9/2026, 4:00:43 PM24 trades$29,5742 min
8/26/2026, 5:09:04 PM8 trades$26,8773 min
11/29/2025, 9:21:43 AM2 trades$26,7111 min
12/5/2024, 6:02:58 AM3 trades$22,1258 min
12/3/2024, 10:04:15 PM1 trades$21,3100 min
6/5/2026, 2:14:57 PM6 trades$20,9130 min
11/13/2025, 6:52:08 PM30 trades$18,87334 min
11/3/2024, 12:51:35 AM56 trades$16,9329 min
11/6/2024, 2:14:45 AM5 trades$16,7035 min
11/27/2024, 2:42:25 PM22 trades$13,8303 min
6/2/2026, 10:24:17 PM1 trades$12,3860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
11-10
11-29
12-08
04-14
11-13
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41 / M22.4 / H36.6