@0xfcbf…d0ef
750xfcbf904e45ec3a579180b9e038aeea9f98f5d0ef
~15d· 36 markets · 305 trades2026-10-08 00:27:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (10/21)8.8/20
3.00x (win $837 / loss $279)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.35215/15
Sortino 24.91810/10
$+0.1509 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 1841 (21 markets)3.3/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($165 / $560)8.1/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+56
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Overview
#1Net PnL
$56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,697
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
106B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
9W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$56
Win Rate
45%
9W / 11L
Profit Factor
3x
Avg Win
$84
Avg Loss
$-25
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $672 (11.90744680851064% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$379
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$159
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$134
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$38
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$24
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$21
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$5
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?$1
Top Losers
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-107
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$-55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$-24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$-23
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-20
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?$-15
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$-12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?$-10
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$-8
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.368
Sortino
0.945
HHI
901
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.224
Kelly %
25.0%
Half-Kelly
12.5%
Top-1 market
25%
Top-5 markets
54.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 195s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)58.5%
Sessions
#128/5/2026, 6:33:06 AM2 trades$2,3690 min
8/3/2026, 9:50:51 AM4 trades$1,0312 min
8/3/2026, 9:29:59 PM5 trades$8612 min
8/2/2026, 11:11:53 AM30 trades$7946 min
8/12/2026, 5:06:57 AM11 trades$4495 min
8/2/2026, 10:59:59 AM23 trades$4335 min
7/30/2026, 5:33:33 PM3 trades$3930 min
8/2/2026, 9:13:20 AM13 trades$3605 min
8/4/2026, 12:47:21 PM11 trades$3400 min
8/2/2026, 9:07:33 AM5 trades$2750 min
8/1/2026, 12:10:50 PM3 trades$2740 min
8/23/2026, 3:09:03 PM8 trades$2403 min
8/25/2026, 3:51:27 AM13 trades$2232 min
8/7/2026, 5:17:13 PM17 trades$1875 min
8/12/2026, 6:46:01 AM8 trades$1713 min
8/5/2026, 7:58:38 AM1 trades$1660 min
7/30/2026, 12:10:29 AM14 trades$1447 min
8/26/2026, 3:58:13 AM5 trades$1120 min
8/12/2026, 5:19:40 AM2 trades$1000 min
8/25/2026, 6:09:04 PM7 trades$961 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-16 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-07 23:59:00
2026-08-14 23:59:00
2026-08-15 23:59:00
2026-08-25 23:59:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.6 / M17.9 / H58.5