Mathis.BTC

@Mathis.BTC

#2,017,68842

0xfddc1aef57b3533b6ca48e94f5adcc5a33cc8624

~11d· 17 markets · 32 tradesVol: $5,790 @Mathis_btc2026-10-01 11:53:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (6/15)5/20
3.27x (win $1,102 / loss $337)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2936 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2079 (15 markets)2.1/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($263 / $765)7.1/10

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,545,272$-154Vol: $3,243
🏛️ POLITICS#76,360$72Vol: $2,327
⚽ SPORTS#144,649$66Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,790
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
18B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $5,790

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
6W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
40%
6W / 9L
Profit Factor
3.27x
Avg Win
$184
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,087 (56.96488469601678% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,011
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$55
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$21
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?$3
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-250
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?$-20
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$-16
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?$-12
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-4
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-4
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-1
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.309
Sortino
1.117
HHI
1837
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.333
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.1%
Top-5 markets
72.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)77.8%

Sessions

#12
8/30/2026, 7:06:40 PM2 trades$7440 min
1/9/2026, 10:03:06 AM7 trades$6692 min
2/7/2026, 6:17:01 AM2 trades$5500 min
7/7/2026, 6:31:13 PM3 trades$4320 min
2/24/2026, 1:48:36 AM4 trades$3669 min
5/18/2026, 4:42:05 PM2 trades$3610 min
5/22/2026, 12:03:38 PM2 trades$2500 min
1/6/2026, 8:33:43 PM2 trades$2001 min
6/1/2026, 1:27:24 PM2 trades$1110 min
1/4/2026, 3:26:05 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/5/2026, 3:29:45 PM1 trades$840 min
1/6/2026, 6:49:37 PM1 trades$800 min
1/9/2026, 1:29:30 PM1 trades$200 min
1/4/2026, 11:08:47 PM1 trades$190 min
1/4/2026, 5:56:17 PM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-09
02-07
02-24
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.1 / M11.1 / H77.8