@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
#120770x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
~219d· 1125 markets · 24529 tradesVol: $26,536,2652026-10-08 00:31:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (603/1066)13.3/20
2.13x (win $7,640,385 / loss $3,583,357)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.05715/15
Sortino 2.51910/10
$+0.2709 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1639 (1066 markets)4.3/10
88/133 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($2,734,638 / $4,057,029)0.5/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+1,518,514
DCA Master
Avg 30.1 entries/market
Whale
$14,978,433 invested
Consistent
88/133 profitable days
High Roller
$66,571/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,464,820
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,536,265
Total Redeem
$148,458
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1125
total markets
Trades
16086B / 8443S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~219d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
603W / 463L events
Realized PnL
$1,518,514
Win Rate
57%
603W / 463L
Profit Factor
2.13x
Avg Win
$12,671
Avg Loss
$-7,928
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,531,378 (4.301163538039292% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5,738,991
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$602,422
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$189,965
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$179,423
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$107,869
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86,703
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$73,839
Fed rate hike in 2026?$62,740
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$47,600
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$36,674
Top Losers
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,678,907
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,006,066
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-93,487
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-76,410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-72,507
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-69,356
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-62,998
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-58,625
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-53,556
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-44,521
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.077
HHI
4478
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.171
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.5%
Top-5 markets
111.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
109.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.6m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.6
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 101s — normal for humanCV 12.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock109 trades/day — automation5.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
30.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)71.9%
Sessions
#128/21/2026, 6:02:30 PM20 trades$1,000,4940 min
8/20/2026, 5:51:09 PM67 trades$820,01611 min
7/3/2026, 4:28:53 PM58 trades$496,7780 min
6/29/2026, 12:44:08 AM77 trades$333,3916 min
7/29/2026, 11:21:35 AM7 trades$275,6990 min
7/6/2026, 11:22:11 AM58 trades$269,6350 min
7/21/2026, 1:24:37 PM81 trades$239,72314 min
7/1/2026, 1:05:34 PM63 trades$209,3331 min
7/6/2026, 2:31:44 PM44 trades$203,47111 min
8/19/2026, 6:09:46 PM11 trades$200,0640 min
4/11/2026, 10:35:41 PM6 trades$200,0240 min
4/29/2026, 5:41:28 PM4 trades$200,0200 min
9/15/2026, 1:49:16 PM31 trades$185,70817 min
9/10/2026, 3:54:27 PM123 trades$156,70617 min
9/16/2026, 4:20:15 PM99 trades$153,34220 min
7/27/2026, 8:20:39 PM29 trades$146,2385 min
9/16/2026, 2:49:00 PM16 trades$141,7500 min
7/6/2026, 9:14:41 PM30 trades$133,5763 min
9/14/2026, 6:42:31 PM22 trades$133,3465 min
9/11/2026, 8:36:04 PM16 trades$132,2011 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-06
04-02
04-29
05-22
06-18
09-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M14.5 / H71.9