@rainbowlilies
#915360x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea
~416d· 3503 markets · 313578 tradesVol: $81,778,7792026-10-08 00:40:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
65% (1707/2625)17.5/20
0.80x (win $180,639 / loss $225,937)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6540/15
Sortino -0.8200/10
$-0.1319 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 276 (2625 markets)10/10
246/389 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 179% of peak ($108,696 / $60,793)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+234,968
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Whale
$343,362 invested
Consistent
246/389 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#942$83,105Vol: $52,361,323
🏛️ POLITICS#379$129,624Vol: $19,727,361
🎭 CULTURE#810$10,344Vol: $5,919,506
📈 ECONOMICS#5,691$369Vol: $2,856,789
💻 TECH#1,962$682Vol: $447,195
💰 FINANCE#665,124$-1,127Vol: $241,899
₿ CRYPTO#129,852$40Vol: $96,304
🌤️ WEATHER#291,457$-126Vol: $25,784
Overview
#1Net PnL
$223,015
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,778,779
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3503
total markets
Trades
17781B / 13536S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~416d
Periods
#2Today
$-2,667
Vol: $111,310
Week
$-7,003
Vol: $1,940,308
Month
$-80,670
Vol: $9,396,642
All Time
$223,015
Vol: $81,778,779
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
5176W / 1618L events
Realized PnL
$234,968
Win Rate
76%
5176W / 1618L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-252
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,292 (0.17998902744156767% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31,794
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5,836
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,662
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,183
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,933
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,704
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,307
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,181
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,117
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$2,940
Top Losers
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-32,936
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-22,268
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18,281
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,676
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-11,000
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-9,936
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,832
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-7,618
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-6,682
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-4,145
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
414
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.136
Kelly %
33.0%
Half-Kelly
16.5%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
41.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
753.8
Very active
Markets / Day
8.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 506s — normal for humanCV 5.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock754 trades/day — automation8.4 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.04
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)76.5%
Sessions
#122/1/2026, 2:14:54 AM8 trades$4,0587 min
6/6/2026, 12:41:40 AM2 trades$3,8400 min
7/1/2026, 8:04:43 PM3 trades$3,8251 min
6/25/2026, 6:52:25 PM1 trades$3,2400 min
7/12/2026, 2:25:40 AM5 trades$3,2003 min
7/11/2026, 9:05:34 AM1 trades$3,1900 min
7/12/2026, 3:23:49 AM10 trades$2,96017 min
7/14/2026, 7:29:31 PM12 trades$2,62514 min
9/3/2026, 2:11:58 PM1 trades$2,5800 min
6/29/2026, 4:41:26 PM6 trades$2,2369 min
7/5/2026, 9:35:53 AM2 trades$2,0001 min
6/27/2026, 2:53:26 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/12/2026, 3:48:47 AM16 trades$1,85520 min
6/28/2026, 2:43:55 AM3 trades$1,8445 min
5/3/2026, 2:46:50 AM2 trades$1,8291 min
7/13/2026, 4:16:10 PM5 trades$1,7604 min
4/14/2026, 6:36:42 PM1 trades$1,7400 min
7/13/2026, 3:10:13 PM7 trades$1,70610 min
6/25/2026, 6:59:16 PM7 trades$1,6957 min
6/27/2026, 7:30:26 AM5 trades$1,68810 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-06
10-09
12-12
02-16
04-21
06-26
09-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 114 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M7.2 / H76.5