@timetowander

#3,069,81550

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c

~154d· 834 markets · 37981 tradesVol: $37,924,4872026-08-06 04:47:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (281/738)4/20
1.17x (win $1,729,684 / loss $1,481,411)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90515/15
Sortino 2.00510/10
$+0.0620 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 713 (738 markets)8.9/10
63/129 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($355,949 / $248,955)0/10

Badges

5
Whale
$4,005,813 invested
High Roller
$8,523/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#691$8,778Vol: $17,728,066
SPORTS#6,127$8,572Vol: $12,583,225
🏛️ POLITICS#1,643,026$-26,032Vol: $5,954,383
CRYPTO#1,674,873$-10,072Vol: $1,168,554
🎭 CULTURE#816,075$-4,491Vol: $347,561
💰 FINANCE#2,381$1,989Vol: $58,476
💻 TECH#67,671$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,021
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,924,487
Total Redeem
$2,816
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
834
total markets
Trades
24897B / 13084S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~154d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $24,420
Week
$-8,664
Vol: $1,064,987
Month
$-7,287
Vol: $1,190,829
All Time
$-22,021
Vol: $37,924,487

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
280W / 458L events
Realized PnL
$-22,021
Win Rate
38%
280W / 458L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$6,155
Avg Loss
$-3,421

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,041,088 (47.277496856379805% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$529,754
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$372,392
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$138,941
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100,771
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$32,097
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$28,097
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25,609
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$19,099
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$18,688
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev$18,279

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-490,785
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-118,738
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-105,203
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-68,594
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-18,592
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva$-14,406
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz$-14,134
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$-13,209
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron$-12,562
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-12,253

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.078
HHI
2643
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
103.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
80.8
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
65 min
Avg Trades / Session
171.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 4.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock81 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
70.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)77.4%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 10:49:31 AM1910 trades$292,040574 min
4/29/2026, 12:50:30 PM9 trades$210,4945 min
4/29/2026, 2:01:44 PM3 trades$200,0000 min
4/29/2026, 2:58:06 PM13 trades$190,32113 min
4/11/2026, 12:05:01 PM759 trades$182,903302 min
4/12/2026, 2:24:09 PM408 trades$173,45295 min
4/29/2026, 10:48:40 AM2 trades$150,0000 min
4/29/2026, 11:09:50 AM2 trades$150,0000 min
4/29/2026, 4:43:00 PM151 trades$147,26177 min
7/28/2026, 2:37:53 PM266 trades$123,02444 min
7/19/2026, 6:32:00 PM208 trades$107,89243 min
4/10/2026, 9:40:45 PM397 trades$107,050260 min
7/18/2026, 6:47:52 PM392 trades$103,670115 min
7/29/2026, 1:46:51 PM239 trades$101,17997 min
7/19/2026, 1:36:54 PM69 trades$98,21140 min
4/10/2026, 5:21:03 AM218 trades$90,123113 min
7/27/2026, 7:01:13 PM183 trades$84,18073 min
4/11/2026, 5:13:25 PM257 trades$71,765111 min
7/26/2026, 2:01:19 PM194 trades$64,81877 min
8/5/2026, 8:04:33 PM21 trades$61,3744 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
03-15
04-18
05-11
06-12
07-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 70.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M14.4 / H77.4