Multi-outcome · 6 open · 4 closed hidden
GPT-6 released by…?
Volume $1.10MTraders 2,237Trades 24,244
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
open · $105.3k
86.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
open · $135.4k
63.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
open · $107.1k
21.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
open · $68.0k
3.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
open · $76.2k
0.9%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xcaab…24dd5 mkts · $45.8k
- 0xb100…64616 mkts · $37.3k
- 0xea6b…7fb13 mkts · $33.7k
- 0xc8ab…64186 mkts · $31.8k
- 0xa28c…e10f5 mkts · $20.8k
- 0xed71…d7ce2 mkts · $19.7k
- 0x7365…64da4 mkts · $19.2k
- 0x97ea…33633 mkts · $18.9k
- 0x3eae…e2ed3 mkts · $17.4k
- 0xbecb…dead2 mkts · $17.3k
- 0x28b2…eb4f3 mkts · $14.8k
- 0x460a…d7382 mkts · $14.2k
- 0x4138…6a243 mkts · $12.7k
- 0xc3fc…484a7 mkts · $12.7k
- 0x2a01…63972 mkts · $12.6k