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GPT-6 released by…?Active 25 days left

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 21.5% · CLOB volume $106.8k · whales 24h net $2.5k (16 wallets) · 7d net $14.0k · 6/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

21.5%

Yes

Implied No

78.5%

Volume

$106.8k

CLOB

Traders

401

2,446 trades

Yes 21.5%No 78.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

22.0% → 22.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$2.5k

Buy

$4.1k

Sell

$1.6k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$14.0k

Buy

$28.8k

Sell

$14.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($2.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($14.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 21.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-08-06 04:27:06

22.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:27:06

78.0¢$4

YESBUY2026-08-06 03:00:29

22.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-06 03:00:29

78.0¢$4

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:38:14

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x460a…d738	$13.3k	$7.6k	$5.7k	$-2.0k
0xc8ab…6418	$7.7k	$7.7k	$0	$-7.7k
0xed71…d7ce	$7.4k	$1.8k	$5.6k	$3.8k
0xb100…6461	$6.9k	$6.3k	$615	$-5.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xcaab…24dd	230	$45.8k	$-35.9k	5
0xb100…6461	255	$36.1k	$-21.5k	6
0xea6b…7fb1	133	$33.7k	$30.0k	3
0xc8ab…6418	330	$31.8k

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