Multi-outcome · 15 open · 4 closed hidden
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
open · $482.2k
23.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
open · $455.6k
23.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
open · $235.6k
21.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
open · $362.5k
14.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
open · $622.4k
11.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
open · $267.0k
1.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
open · $596.2k
0.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?
open · $61.0k
0.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
open · $127.8k
0.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
open · $59.2k
0.5%
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