Multi-outcome · 19 open

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

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Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
75.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?
open · $3.3k
48.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.2k
31.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.3k
22.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
18.2%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?
open · $672
14.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?
open · $899
12.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.7k
7.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.7k
6.7%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
open · $634
6.3%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.6k
6.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
open · $3.2k
4.1%
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.1k
4.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.4k
3.9%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
3.9%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.9k
3.2%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.0k
2.7%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?
open · $460
2.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.5k
2.0%

Probability ladder · open only

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