0x136f93963d636b2496443a8d247266000cc751fb34e3c4dbe7ec3ba75a31b85a
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $2.1k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 6.0% · CLOB volume $2.1k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $167 · 2/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
6.0%
Yes
Implied No
94.0%
No
Volume
$2.1k
CLOB
Traders
17
29 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$167
Buy
$178
Sell
$11
Whales
9
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x77c3…00c8 | $143 | $100 | $43 | $-57 |
| 0x5ff7…f7f0 | $115 | $60 | $55 | $-5 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $100 | $93 | $7 | $-86 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $97 | $70 | $26 | $-44 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 17 | $9.5k | $-450 | 3 |
| 0xf92a…a517 | 24 | $5.9k | $-5.0k | 1 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 13 | $2.3k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3879…d8c3 | 62 | $2.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 4 total · Event board
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?
open · $2.1k
6.0%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?
open · $4.1k
1.9%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
closed · $163.2k
0.0%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
closed · $159.1k
0.0%
| 0xa8f1…fee6 | $54 | $52 | $3 | $-49 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $29 | $29 | $0 | $-29 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $24 | $24 | $0 | $-24 |
| 0x758d…5d9e | $16 | $15 | $1 | $-14 |
| 0x8cf3…3dfd | $11 | $10 | $1 | $-9 |
| 0xcb4a…4665 | $5 | $5 | $0 | $-5 |
| 0x6cc8…65a4 | $3 | $2 | $1 | $-1 |
| 0x6f36…89ca | $3 | $3 | $0 | $-3 |
| $-2.0k |
| 1 |
| 0x0d05…6a81 | 13 | $1.6k | $1.6k | 1 |
| 0xbd87…6bf9 | 4 | $1.4k | $-601 | 1 |
| 0xeca0…e8f8 | 1 | $1.4k | $-1.4k | 1 |
| 0x60e2…6fb0 | 5 | $1.1k | $1.0k | 1 |
| 0x77c3…00c8 | 6 | $1.0k | $-958 | 2 |
| 0x56c2…6219 | 5 | $1.0k | $-1.0k | 1 |
