0x2cd0a2eed2c93bfdfa2f2e44fd34d90acfb3f5d0938ba1f458410ac8afef500a
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $4.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.9% · CLOB volume $4.1k · whales 24h net $213 (5 wallets) · 7d net $657 · 2/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.9%
Yes
Implied No
98.1%
No
Volume
$4.1k
CLOB
Traders
35
70 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$213
Buy
$334
Sell
$120
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$657
Buy
$885
Sell
$228
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x60e2…6fb0 | $1.1k | $50 | $1.1k | $1.0k |
| 0x77c3…00c8 | $902 | $902 | $0 | $-902 |
| 0xd950…ad1b | $359 | $359 | $0 | $-359 |
| 0x2e68…6898 | $354 | $233 | $121 | $-112 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 17 | $9.5k | $-450 | 3 |
| 0xf92a…a517 | 24 | $5.9k | $-5.0k | 1 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 13 | $2.3k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3879…d8c3 | 62 | $2.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 4 total · Event board
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?
open · $2.1k
6.0%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?
open · $4.1k
1.9%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
closed · $163.2k
0.0%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
closed · $159.1k
0.0%
| 0xc65a…a0cb | $223 | $10 | $213 | $203 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $200 | $195 | $5 | $-190 |
| 0x5533…51ba | $110 | $110 | $0 | $-110 |
| 0xa8f1…fee6 | $104 | $52 | $52 | $0 |
| 0x7d7a…bc1f | $99 | $49 | $50 | $2 |
| 0xe192…7689 | $98 | $95 | $2 | $-93 |
| 0x7f1d…45dc | $94 | $73 | $21 | $-53 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $89 | $74 | $15 | $-59 |
| $-2.0k |
| 1 |
| 0x0d05…6a81 | 13 | $1.6k | $1.6k | 1 |
| 0xbd87…6bf9 | 4 | $1.4k | $-601 | 1 |
| 0xeca0…e8f8 | 1 | $1.4k | $-1.4k | 1 |
| 0x60e2…6fb0 | 5 | $1.1k | $1.0k | 1 |
| 0x77c3…00c8 | 6 | $1.0k | $-958 | 2 |
| 0x56c2…6219 | 5 | $1.0k | $-1.0k | 1 |
