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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Active 25 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

0x1baf407855ceab1d3e1a9c9c1fe32b547a3ccd575e4d8eb1f7d4b5b27a1122df

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $631.6k · whales 24h net $1.3k (10 wallets) · 7d net $19.6k · 3/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.1%

Yes

Implied No

98.9%

Volume

$631.6k

CLOB

Traders

333

1,515 trades

Yes 1.1%No 98.9%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

1.1% → 1.0% (-0.1pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$1.3k

Buy

$2.0k

Sell

$680

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$19.6k

Buy

$33.4k

Sell

$13.8k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($19.6k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:37:39

101.3¢$400

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:37:39

7692.3¢$303

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:37:39

98.9¢$44

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:37:39

98.9¢$52

NOBUY2026-08-05 13:07:38

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x21e2…8893	$163.8k	$138.8k	$25.0k	$-113.8k
0x9449…d829	$141.8k	$72.2k	$69.6k	$-2.6k
0x410a…2643	$16.7k	$11.8k	$4.9k	$-6.9k
0xc8ab…6418	$14.6k	$13.6k	$1.1k	$-12.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	180	$308.0k	$101.7k	1
0x21e2…8893	44	$232.4k	$-136.5k	2
0x90d8…904c	119	$218.7k	$72.2k	1
0x9449…d829	39	$187.7k

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