0xe85cac63bc745dbdee8c9523fb87dd25658b678efb266eb3e91a44d1b558c205
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $249.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $249.2k · whales 24h net $230 (13 wallets) · 7d net $7.8k · 1/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$249.2k
CLOB
Traders
587
4,613 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.3% → 6.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$230
Buy
$851
Sell
$621
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$7.8k
Buy
$11.9k
Sell
$4.1k
Whales
44
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $8.6k | $5.6k | $3.0k | $-2.6k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $7.0k | $7.0k | $25 | $-7.0k |
| 0xe8a2…54c2 | $5.3k | $5.0k | $329 | $-4.7k |
| 0x12bf…ddaf | $5.2k | $2.8k | $2.4k | $-335 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x178d…74ed | 13 | $19.7k | $-19.6k | 1 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | 53 | $8.6k | $-2.6k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 42 | $7.3k | $-4.5k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 80 | $7.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 6 total · Event board
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
open · $249.2k
5.5%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
closed · $3.52M
0.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
closed · $2.15M
0.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
closed · $1.54M
0.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
closed · $669.3k
0.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
closed · $295.1k
0.0%
| 0x1a6d…7104 | $5.2k | $5.1k | $87 | $-5.0k |
| 0xc550…272d | $5.1k | $3.7k | $1.4k | $-2.3k |
| 0x1c14…6342 | $4.5k | $2.3k | $2.2k | $-61 |
| 0x854e…b675 | $3.7k | $1.8k | $1.8k | $-28 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $3.2k | $3.2k | $0 | $-3.2k |
| 0x9d73…216b | $2.9k | $1.9k | $1.0k | $-816 |
| 0xeb22…808a | $2.6k | $2.5k | $113 | $-2.4k |
| 0x993c…6787 | $2.1k | $2.0k | $120 | $-1.9k |
| $-7.0k |
| 2 |
| 0xe8a2…54c2 | 21 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0x12bf…ddaf | 36 | $5.2k | $-335 | 1 |
| 0x1a6d…7104 | 28 | $5.2k | $-5.0k | 1 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 11 | $4.9k | $-4.8k | 1 |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | 7 | $4.6k | $4.5k | 1 |
| 0x8257…da02 | 16 | $4.6k | $-2.1k | 1 |
