0x1d78389ca8fbb953ab8ed8d1fecb5160ac4c3a2b0185fed3c248f4d2e5cf5192
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?” trades at 26% YES on Polymarket with $247.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 25.5% · CLOB volume $247.9k · whales 24h net $10.0k (55 wallets) · 7d net $42.6k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
25.5%
Yes
Implied No
74.5%
No
Volume
$247.9k
CLOB
Traders
408
2,546 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
32.0% → 28.0% (-4.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$10.0k
Buy
$19.0k
Sell
$9.0k
Whales
55
Last 7 days
Net flow
$42.6k
Buy
$85.2k
Sell
$42.6k
Whales
191
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7319…0299 | $55.5k | $26.8k | $28.8k | $2.0k |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | $41.8k | $29.3k | $12.5k | $-16.7k |
| 0x26ac…4aac | $30.4k | $18.7k | $11.7k | $-7.0k |
| 0x1425…f1a1 | $26.3k | $16.2k | $10.1k | $-6.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7319…0299 | 840 | $136.2k | $13.7k | 4 |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | 159 | $66.3k | $-27.3k | 3 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 8 | $41.8k | $-16.7k | 1 |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | 614 | $37.5k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
open · $328.5k
60.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
open · $247.9k
25.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
open · $105.0k
4.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
closed · $413.4k
0.0%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?
closed · $18.7k
0.0%
| 0xd00e…e4ea | $25.7k | $15.8k | $9.8k | $-6.0k |
| 0x11c4…6219 | $21.7k | $15.1k | $6.5k | $-8.6k |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | $19.3k | $11.7k | $7.6k | $-4.1k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $14.0k | $14.0k | $0 | $-14.0k |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | $11.4k | $11.4k | $0 | $-11.4k |
| 0x5b07…de95 | $10.5k | $8.8k | $1.7k | $-7.1k |
| 0x524d…4495 | $9.0k | $4.0k | $5.0k | $963 |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $7.8k | $5.8k | $2.1k | $-3.7k |
| $-18.2k |
| 4 |
| 0x26ac…4aac | 4 | $30.4k | $-7.0k | 1 |
| 0xe958…66b7 | 291 | $28.1k | $-9.9k | 4 |
| 0x1425…f1a1 | 5 | $26.3k | $-6.1k | 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 657 | $25.7k | $-25.4k | 4 |
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 6 | $25.7k | $-6.0k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 52 | $24.7k | $-24.6k | 3 |
