Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

0x2dd43d4fa975429df4e05c74fbf4138bbe7698f5de150534904f149704b74bef

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $4.5k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $156 · 4/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$4.5k

CLOB

Traders

377 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$156

Buy

$156

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($156)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($4.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-04 05:40:38

99.9¢$6

—BUY2026-10-04 05:40:38

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-10-04 05:40:38

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-10-04 05:12:46

99.9¢$10

—BUY2026-10-04 05:12:46

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x1387…55f8	$252	$251	$0	$-251
0xf83e…4663	$169	$169	$0	$-168
0xb0c8…fe7f	$160	$160	$0	$-160
0xfbd8…4027	$140	$140	$0	$-139

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x5207…686b	111	$20.9k	$-824	5
0x60a9…5a71	34	$6.4k	$-286	1
0xb1ca…1705	26	$6.1k	$-5.0k	1
0x21ff…0d71	109	$4.8k

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