0x30f9431d1385445af6f2da6c567517eaa9a74ce57731a27594c11cfdb3260e20
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $78.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $78.2k · whales 24h net $21 (3 wallets) · 7d net $41 · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.5%
Yes
Implied No
95.5%
No
Volume
$78.2k
CLOB
Traders
145
1,127 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$21
Buy
$21
Sell
$0
Whales
3
Last 7 days
Net flow
$41
Buy
$148
Sell
$106
Whales
7
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1ee9…197f | $6.9k | $2.6k | $4.3k | $1.7k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $3.7k | $3.0k | $710 | $-2.3k |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | $3.2k | $1.7k | $1.5k | $-281 |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $3.2k | $3.1k | $14 | $-3.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x60a9…5a71 | 563 | $198.6k | $-24.3k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 454 | $99.2k | $-99.2k | 5 |
| 0x1ee9…197f | 122 | $48.9k | $5.6k | 5 |
| 0x162f…798d | 29 | $33.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
open · $183.8k
14.5%
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
open · $219.6k
13.5%
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
open · $220.4k
12.5%
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
open · $184.5k
9.5%
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
open · $339.0k
8.5%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
open · $78.2k
4.5%
| 0xafa6…a78b | $1.9k | $917 | $985 | $68 |
| 0x9352…2227 | $1.7k | $1.5k | $133 | $-1.4k |
| 0x5c29…358e | $1.4k | $327 | $1.0k | $719 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $1.2k | $1.1k | $119 | $-937 |
| 0x9ad0…bf3d | $1.2k | $1.2k | $4 | $-1.2k |
| 0x0a7a…df1b | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $932 | $844 | $88 | $-757 |
| 0x6f67…102c | $900 | $866 | $35 | $-831 |
| $-1.6k |
| 4 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 173 | $30.7k | $-12.2k | 6 |
| 0xc7e5…2d3a | 47 | $28.8k | $-11.3k | 1 |
| 0x9352…2227 | 79 | $28.2k | $-8.2k | 4 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 20 | $27.7k | $-27.7k | 3 |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | 73 | $26.1k | $-4.3k | 5 |
| 0xc851…cd2a | 45 | $25.6k | $17.4k | 2 |
