0x395f807cf5f7c4b64e64c6064067d69cc48a3d460eaeb3d528c4d896423799c8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 28% YES on Polymarket with $11.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 27.5% · CLOB volume $11.4k · whales 24h net $1.8k (37 wallets) · 7d net $2.6k · 22/22 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
27.5%
Yes
Implied No
72.5%
No
Volume
$11.4k
CLOB
Traders
102
467 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
38.0% → 26.9% (-11.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$2.9k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
37
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$4.4k
Sell
$1.9k
Whales
43
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdff8…3c8b | $2.1k | $1.2k | $949 | $-244 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | $1.6k | $918 | $683 | $-235 |
| 0x2a97…7cad | $1.1k | $527 | $574 | $48 |
| 0x1d75…78b9 | $708 | $552 | $156 | $-396 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8159…8dc9 | 230 | $6.4k | $627 | 1 |
| 0x014c…820c | 83 | $4.2k | $-1.2k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 58 | $2.9k | $-1.9k | 5 |
| 0xdff8…3c8b | 43 | $2.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 22 total · Event board
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.4k
27.5%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.2k
14.5%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $19.9k
12.9%
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $902
8.9%
Will Miles Teller win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $162
7.3%
Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $349
5.0%
Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $162
4.1%
Will Robert De Niro win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $134
4.1%
Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $125
4.0%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $134
4.0%
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $155
4.0%
Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.6k
3.9%
Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $134
3.8%
Will Daniel Craig win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $132
3.8%
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $694
3.4%
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $273
3.4%
Will Adam Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $157
2.9%
Will Michael Fassbender win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $197
2.5%
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $222
2.1%
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $728
0.6%
| 0x0fa2…05aa | $700 | $321 | $379 | $57 |
| 0xb0d7…f9fa | $619 | $404 | $215 | $-189 |
| 0x014c…820c | $618 | $288 | $330 | $42 |
| 0x5c37…2077 | $574 | $300 | $273 | $-27 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $540 | $540 | $0 | $-540 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $381 | $381 | $0 | $-381 |
| 0x2b9d…95f4 | $375 | $375 | $0 | $-375 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $373 | $347 | $26 | $-321 |
| $59 |
| 2 |
| 0x2a97…7cad | 98 | $2.0k | $-443 | 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 52 | $2.0k | $-2.0k | 6 |
| 0xbe13…f1e4 | 40 | $1.9k | $39 | 1 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 34 | $1.6k | $-235 | 1 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 64 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 4 |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | 118 | $1.5k | $26 | 4 |
