0x54c848f9c72095a29ab0a7ec0080e583dbafb74a7fcce73dae51fc5f216b370f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $10.9k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 8.5% · CLOB volume $10.9k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.3k · 2/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.5%
Yes
Implied No
91.5%
No
Volume
$10.9k
CLOB
Traders
47
110 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$2.5k
Sell
$1.2k
Whales
13
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x82c7…f1f8 | $2.1k | $484 | $1.6k | $1.1k |
| 0x21d0…ce91 | $1.9k | $1.8k | $84 | $-1.7k |
| 0x166b…f785 | $1.8k | $1.0k | $768 | $-264 |
| 0x9152…69a5 | $1.3k | $1.2k | $109 | $-1.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2889…9226 | 119 | $329.9k | $-22.8k | 1 |
| 0xfffa…864b | 226 | $153.8k | $-153.8k | 1 |
| 0x11fc…dc48 | 13 | $58.6k | $-44.8k | 1 |
| 0xd25b…9f3d | 57 | $50.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 3 total · Event board
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
open · $10.9k
8.5%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
open · $3.10M
3.3%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.05M
0.0%
| 0x66ca…532d | $750 | $683 | $68 | $-615 |
| 0x9419…a40f | $644 | $644 | $0 | $-644 |
| 0x54a7…881b | $538 | $349 | $189 | $-159 |
| 0x6c10…df5c | $500 | $445 | $55 | $-390 |
| 0xc3cd…816c | $480 | $480 | $0 | $-480 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $477 | $325 | $152 | $-173 |
| 0xc5a2…9981 | $444 | $400 | $44 | $-356 |
| 0xf7f6…6b83 | $444 | $400 | $44 | $-356 |
| $-8.2k |
| 1 |
| 0x30e5…1549 | 20 | $42.6k | $-7.4k | 1 |
| 0xe52c…6924 | 1 | $41.8k | $-41.8k | 1 |
| 0x9941…55a5 | 2 | $41.0k | $1.1k | 1 |
| 0x9589…39b0 | 88 | $38.1k | $2.5k | 1 |
| 0xab01…2558 | 2 | $30.5k | $783 | 1 |
| 0xa61e…0abd | 182 | $29.7k | $-29.7k | 1 |
