0x5a1cb62e49c43b40335d5be7af7902d55eca78fafe62b56cea6d780d647e9fda
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 28% YES on Polymarket with $14.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 27.5% · CLOB volume $14.3k · whales 24h net $100 (5 wallets) · 7d net $740 · 18/22 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
27.5%
Yes
Implied No
72.5%
No
Volume
$14.3k
CLOB
Traders
89
424 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.0% → 28.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$100
Buy
$138
Sell
$38
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$740
Buy
$913
Sell
$173
Whales
14
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa181…ece8 | $4.8k | $1.1k | $3.7k | $2.7k |
| 0xd8dd…9b5a | $3.6k | $1.6k | $2.0k | $458 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x47ab…95df | $1.9k | $1.9k | $0 | $-1.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x77a1…de3d | 116 | $20.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 120 | $18.2k | $-18.2k | 10 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 113 | $14.7k | $-10.3k | 4 |
| 0x0380…073d | 506 | $13.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 22 total · Event board
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $147.9k
50.5%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $14.3k
27.5%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $27.0k
11.5%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $13.4k
3.0%
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.8k
1.5%
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
1.1%
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.2k
0.7%
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $14.4k
0.6%
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.2k
0.4%
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.3k
0.4%
Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.4k
0.3%
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.9k
0.3%
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
0.3%
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.7k
0.1%
Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
0.1%
Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.8k
0.1%
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
0.1%
Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.0k
0.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
closed · $1.6k
0.1%
Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
| 0x1d85…9ed0 | $1.7k | $476 | $1.3k | $791 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.6k | $1.6k | $0 | $-1.6k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | $1.1k | $719 | $431 | $-288 |
| 0x0380…073d | $741 | $719 | $21 | $-698 |
| 0x2490…83ec | $677 | $250 | $427 | $177 |
| 0x6013…4c88 | $527 | $150 | $376 | $226 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $509 | $345 | $164 | $-182 |
| 0xb518…333f | $509 | $60 | $449 | $389 |
| $-12.0k |
| 22 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 205 | $12.6k | $-12.6k | 15 |
| 0xa181…ece8 | 87 | $9.4k | $2.8k | 2 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 32 | $7.6k | $-2.4k | 1 |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8 | 16 | $6.9k | $5.0k | 1 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 444 | $6.4k | $-5.5k | 22 |
| 0x1d75…78b9 | 23 | $6.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
