0x5d5b8feb963ddcc0f4688f7ac0c0d375f99945b7a07155d60cd1a306c6b3054b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $277.9k total volume.
Resolved market
Market closed / resolved · winner No · final Yes 0.0% · CLOB volume $277.9k · 0/11 related markets still open.
Implied Yes
0.0%
Yes
Implied No
100.0%
No
Volume
$277.9k
CLOB
Traders
740
6,826 trades
Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$103.7k
Buy
$185.8k
Sell
$82.1k
Whales
263
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2974…9c23 | $20.6k | $11.9k | $8.7k | $-3.1k |
| 0x88c4…129a | $19.4k | $10.2k | $9.2k | $-940 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $14.9k | $14.9k | $35 | $-14.8k |
| 0x7f9e…3a0e | $13.9k | $11.3k | $2.6k | $-8.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7f9e…3a0e | 105 | $74.1k | $-33.6k | 3 |
| 0xbace…3429 | 100 | $67.3k | $-65.0k | 2 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 602 | $66.3k | $-57.6k | 11 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 131 | $62.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
0 open · 11 total · Event board
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
closed · $229.0k
100.0%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $223.2k
0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
closed · $277.9k
0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
closed · $287.6k
0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
closed · $217.6k
0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
closed · $109.4k
0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
closed · $109.3k
0.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
closed · $57.8k
0.0%
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $12.0k
0.0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.7k
0.0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.1k
0.0%
| 0x26b8…131c | $13.5k | $9.7k | $3.8k | $-5.9k |
| 0x524d…4495 | $12.2k | $4.4k | $7.8k | $3.4k |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $12.2k | $8.4k | $3.7k | $-4.7k |
| 0xa2ac…7f76 | $11.1k | $8.6k | $2.5k | $-6.1k |
| 0xc78e…4718 | $9.3k | $4.4k | $4.9k | $499 |
| 0xbace…3429 | $9.0k | $8.7k | $267 | $-8.5k |
| 0xc728…3e5b | $8.4k | $4.6k | $3.7k | $-874 |
| 0x9648…6825 | $8.1k | $8.1k | $0 | $-8.1k |
| $46.4k |
| 2 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 1,097 | $61.8k | $-31.8k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 978 | $56.8k | $-56.7k | 10 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 902 | $56.4k | $-8.4k | 6 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 325 | $42.2k | $-9.6k | 4 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 480 | $38.8k | $-38.5k | 4 |
| 0x0380…073d | 931 | $37.6k | $-28.5k | 11 |
