0x64f55bc7bbe6775d0eb07686372ef8d08e0759f46793bcad5b5ad790ab1a775c
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $151.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.5% · CLOB volume $151.6k · whales 24h net $5.7k (55 wallets) · 7d net $31.7k · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.5%
Yes
Implied No
92.5%
No
Volume
$151.6k
CLOB
Traders
418
4,245 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
20.0% → 8.0% (-12.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$8.5k
Sell
$2.8k
Whales
55
Last 7 days
Net flow
$31.7k
Buy
$78.4k
Sell
$46.7k
Whales
187
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3da…41fe | $51.9k | $9.5k | $42.5k | $33.0k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $13.4k | $8.3k | $5.2k | $-3.1k |
| 0x0380…073d | $11.2k | $10.9k | $348 | $-10.5k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $8.4k | $8.1k | $240 | $-7.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3da…41fe | 594 | $53.4k | $33.1k | 2 |
| 0x0ffc…8236 | 159 | $38.1k | $-28.0k | 1 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 387 | $34.1k | $-6.3k | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 379 | $25.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $214.0k
93.5%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $151.8k
7.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $83.8k
0.1%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $24.4k
0.1%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $13.7k
0.1%
| 0x39c3…0c7e | $8.2k | $3.1k | $5.1k | $2.0k |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $7.4k | $5.9k | $1.5k | $-4.5k |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $6.2k | $6.0k | $224 | $-5.7k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $5.8k | $5.7k | $128 | $-5.5k |
| 0x7e59…7b8b | $5.6k | $2.5k | $3.1k | $530 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $5.3k | $3.9k | $1.4k | $-2.5k |
| 0x1d8c…757a | $4.4k | $3.7k | $700 | $-3.0k |
| 0xda00…61b4 | $4.2k | $2.9k | $1.3k | $-1.6k |
| $-20.5k |
| 5 |
| 0x39c3…0c7e | 208 | $23.3k | $3.3k | 2 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 223 | $21.0k | $-14.2k | 5 |
| 0x1d5f…634d | 255 | $20.7k | $-12.6k | 1 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 235 | $16.0k | $-7.6k | 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 340 | $14.9k | $-14.6k | 5 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 313 | $14.3k | $-11.3k | 5 |
