0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $1.01M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.6% · CLOB volume $1.01M · whales 24h net $2.1k (10 wallets) · 7d net $17.1k · 7/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.6%
Yes
Implied No
99.4%
No
Volume
$1.01M
CLOB
Traders
927
22,441 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.4% → 0.5% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.1k
Buy
$2.1k
Sell
$10
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$17.1k
Buy
$18.1k
Sell
$978
Whales
57
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa19c…de6b | $65.9k | $515 | $65.4k | $64.9k |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | $43.0k | $43.0k | $0 | $-43.0k |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | $22.6k | $22.6k | $0 | $-22.6k |
| 0xcc81…da07 | $13.8k | $168 | $13.6k | $13.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 1,853 | $345.0k | $-228.9k | 7 |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | 13 | $134.8k | $-134.6k | 3 |
| 0xff4e…5502 | 301 | $86.9k | $-86.7k | 3 |
| 0x7152…faac | 86 | $82.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 8 total · Event board
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.34M
87.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $992.8k
8.6%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $773.8k
2.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.01M
0.6%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $747.6k
0.2%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.03M
0.1%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.00M
0.1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $947.5k
0.1%
| 0xe917…9612 | $13.1k | $124 | $13.0k | $12.8k |
| 0x8f41…260e | $9.9k | $9.9k | $62 | $-9.8k |
| 0x9181…64ac | $9.0k | $8.9k | $67 | $-8.9k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $7.0k | $7.0k | $34 | $-6.9k |
| 0x0380…073d | $6.7k | $6.7k | $28 | $-6.6k |
| 0xee67…67a6 | $6.3k | $5.6k | $692 | $-4.9k |
| 0xaee8…1154 | $6.0k | $6.0k | $0 | $-6.0k |
| 0x4047…7293 | $5.3k | $4.4k | $871 | $-3.6k |
| $3.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xa19c…de6b | 57 | $79.0k | $73.2k | 3 |
| 0x9f9e…4c57 | 49 | $76.5k | $-39 | 3 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 2,262 | $66.5k | $-66.5k | 3 |
| 0x8f41…260e | 1,365 | $58.1k | $-48.5k | 3 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 43 | $53.5k | $52.7k | 1 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 249 | $51.0k | $-48.3k | 8 |
