0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 88% YES on Polymarket with $1.34M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 87.5% · CLOB volume $1.34M · whales 24h net $4.4k (36 wallets) · 7d net $37.0k · 7/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
87.5%
Yes
Implied No
12.5%
No
Volume
$1.34M
CLOB
Traders
3,565
32,645 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
88.0% → 87.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.4k
Buy
$8.2k
Sell
$3.8k
Whales
36
Last 7 days
Net flow
$37.0k
Buy
$54.9k
Sell
$17.9k
Whales
165
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0ca…66ed | $87.4k | $55.0k | $32.5k | $-22.5k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $17.9k | $5.4k | $12.5k | $7.2k |
| 0xabbe…8f37 | $16.6k | $9.6k | $7.0k | $-2.6k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $14.8k | $14.8k | $0 | $-14.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 1,938 | $352.8k | $-233.7k | 7 |
| 0x3f2d…2adc | 13 | $134.8k | $-134.6k | 3 |
| 0xff4e…5502 | 301 | $86.9k | $-86.7k | 3 |
| 0x7152…faac | 86 | $82.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 8 total · Event board
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.34M
87.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $992.8k
8.6%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $773.8k
2.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.01M
0.6%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $742.3k
0.3%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.03M
0.1%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.00M
0.1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $947.5k
0.1%
| 0xd45f…c086 | $13.1k | $8.1k | $5.1k | $-3.0k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $9.2k | $6.3k | $2.9k | $-3.4k |
| 0xbd41…a6de | $8.8k | $8.8k | $0 | $-8.8k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $8.5k | $5.7k | $2.7k | $-3.0k |
| 0xbf5d…6e7d | $8.2k | $4.8k | $3.4k | $-1.3k |
| 0xac4a…bf1e | $7.5k | $7.5k | $0 | $-7.5k |
| 0xf294…7967 | $7.4k | $7.3k | $136 | $-7.1k |
| 0xe649…304d | $7.4k | $4.6k | $2.8k | $-1.8k |
| $3.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xa19c…de6b | 57 | $79.0k | $73.2k | 3 |
| 0x9f9e…4c57 | 49 | $76.5k | $-39 | 3 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 2,320 | $66.5k | $-66.5k | 3 |
| 0x8f41…260e | 1,404 | $60.3k | $-50.7k | 3 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 43 | $53.5k | $52.7k | 1 |
| 0x42f0…fc65 | 187 | $51.9k | $46.6k | 3 |
