0xb6abfbc465b88c6085503b3280872545c99c43fc979674bb47b9df1f7c170fd3
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?” trades at 18% YES on Polymarket with $1.38M total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 17.8% · CLOB volume $1.38M · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.1k · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
17.8%
Yes
Implied No
82.3%
No
Volume
$1.38M
CLOB
Traders
1,274
5,595 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$2.0k
Sell
$897
Whales
25
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $1.1k | $516 | $628 | $112 |
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $979 | $299 | $681 | $382 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | $907 | $853 | $55 | $-798 |
| 0x68d9…00ed | $765 | $487 | $278 | $-210 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0x2106…4dea | $654 | $654 | $0 | $-654 |
| 0x1308…45c6 | $650 | $496 | $154 | $-342 |
| 0x7a45…4eec | $632 | $328 | $304 | $-24 |
| 0xe11c…f800 | $610 | $360 | $250 | $-111 |
| 0xe372…eb38 | $541 | $471 | $70 | $-401 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $444 | $354 | $90 | $-265 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $436 | $417 | $18 | $-399 |
| 0x02a9…c4c8 | $326 | $61 | $266 | $205 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,949 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
