0xf88da08f18b2026d986d67508141ec7c13614d87a6ff0f5315edfce4df643165
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $539.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.2% · CLOB volume $539.4k · whales 24h net $0 (1 wallets) · 7d net $163 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.2%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$539.4k
CLOB
Traders
625
4,479 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
1
Last 7 days
Net flow
$163
Buy
$242
Sell
$80
Whales
9
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xebab…cff5 | $2.3k | $1.1k | $1.2k | $39 |
| 0xe154…0b7f | $1.6k | $1.6k | $0 | $-1.6k |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $1.5k | $1.2k | $315 | $-865 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $634 | $369 | $265 | $-104 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0xf26c…ebe5 | $596 | $476 | $120 | $-356 |
| 0x1199…d5f9 | $443 | $221 | $222 | $1 |
| 0x68d9…00ed | $303 | $159 | $144 | $-15 |
| 0x268d…4820 | $279 | $142 | $137 | $-4 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | $274 | $274 | $0 | $-274 |
| 0xa33b…17d4 | $267 | $144 | $123 | $-21 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $226 | $170 | $56 | $-114 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $216 | $208 | $9 | $-199 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,949 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
