0xb969b9e6e74080c23b5c707826db02ecf4325beddc8b6f3f4c1fb8e569ab4e18
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $85.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.6% · CLOB volume $85.2k · whales 24h net $4.1k (30 wallets) · 7d net $15.0k · 3/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.6%
Yes
Implied No
92.3%
No
Volume
$85.2k
CLOB
Traders
288
1,766 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.4% → 7.6% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.1k
Buy
$9.4k
Sell
$5.3k
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$15.0k
Buy
$43.4k
Sell
$28.4k
Whales
79
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $21.7k | $21.7k | $0 | $-21.7k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $11.1k | $4.0k | $7.1k | $3.2k |
| 0x8735…46e5 | $9.5k | $643 | $8.8k | $8.2k |
| 0xda00…61b4 | $7.2k | $5.1k | $2.1k | $-3.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 756 | $101.5k | $-25.1k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $74.4k | $-74.4k | 5 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 384 | $67.0k | $-15.3k | 5 |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | 229 | $40.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 10 total · Event board
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
closed · $165.8k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
closed · $139.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
closed · $75.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
closed · $41.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
closed · $37.4k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?
closed · $20.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?
closed · $6.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
open · $175.1k
43.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
open · $90.1k
19.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
open · $85.2k
7.6%
| 0xe617…f251 | $6.2k | $5.0k | $1.2k | $-3.8k |
| 0x2e3e…abea | $5.2k | $3.4k | $1.7k | $-1.7k |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | $4.8k | $3.5k | $1.3k | $-2.2k |
| 0xaafe…6edb | $4.5k | $1.8k | $2.7k | $945 |
| 0xd309…d769 | $4.2k | $1.5k | $2.8k | $1.3k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $3.7k | $3.3k | $399 | $-2.9k |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $3.6k | $2.7k | $949 | $-1.7k |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | $3.5k | $230 | $3.3k | $3.0k |
| $-5.2k |
| 2 |
| 0x2e3e…abea | 148 | $40.4k | $12.8k | 4 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 169 | $27.9k | $2.9k | 4 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 7 | $21.6k | $-5.7k | 2 |
| 0x5950…8c48 | 186 | $21.2k | $-4.2k | 2 |
| 0xe904…2d9f | 137 | $20.4k | $-4.9k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 225 | $19.4k | $-12.7k | 6 |