Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

0xc564e47b7a853f3e52ea7b8e28d69ed99fcb284929364fd0f8024c2bca03ea96

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 33.5% · CLOB volume $223.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $14.3k · 32/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

33.5%

Yes

Implied No

66.5%

Volume

$223.0k

CLOB

Traders

296

1,557 trades

Yes 33.5%No 66.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$14.3k

Buy

$44.3k

Sell

$30.0k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($14.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 33.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 22:49:23

151.5¢$14

NOBUY2026-08-04 22:49:23

66.0¢$9

NOBUY2026-08-04 17:46:23

303.0¢$75

YESBUY2026-08-04 17:46:23

33.0¢$18

YESBUY2026-08-04 17:46:23

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xf705…3ca7	$61.2k	$19.5k	$41.7k	$22.1k
0x6db9…4ab5	$55.2k	$19.1k	$36.1k	$16.9k
0x1465…7072	$50.9k	$47.6k	$3.3k	$-44.4k
0x56ad…f13e	$47.9k	$47.9k	$0	$-47.9k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1465…7072	2,139	$1.03M	$-660.6k	9
0xcc50…4c82	1,277	$626.5k	$-31.1k	11
0xf705…3ca7	1,143	$529.9k	$28.3k	18
0x6db9…4ab5	497	$331.7k

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