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The International 2026: WinnerActive Ended

Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?

0xcb423627c83576ffdc8d9c5aae827e62f62f9319e45fffc2138c690f6befcec6

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $3.7k · whales 24h net $1.1k (11 wallets) · 7d net $1.5k · 16/16 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.3%

Yes

Implied No

98.8%

Volume

$3.7k

CLOB

Traders

241 trades

Yes 1.3%No 98.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

1.5% → 1.1% (-0.4pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$1.1k

Buy

$1.1k

Sell

$13

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.5k

Buy

$1.6k

Sell

$60

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1.1k)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:36:44

98.9¢$198

—BUY2026-08-05 15:36:44

1.1¢$1

—BUY2026-08-05 15:36:44

1.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:36:42

98.8¢$25

—BUY2026-08-05 15:36:42

1.2¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x5a21…9318	$706	$696	$10	$-686
0xd23f…94a1	$486	$478	$8	$-469
0x0380…073d	$365	$360	$5	$-355
0x8373…f0bc	$349	$344	$5	$-339

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x0380…073d	282	$11.2k	$-9.9k	16
0x4c5e…8819	13	$10.4k	$-5.6k	2
0x5a21…9318	323	$10.3k	$-9.1k	16
0x94cb…64e3	134	$9.6k

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