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The International 2026: WinnerActive Ended

Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?

0xcc48ebb173323976f59612940d662e8be393bfbdde66dc849b5b348c5818add7

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $4.3k · whales 24h net $902 (9 wallets) · 7d net $1.5k · 16/16 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.5%

Yes

Implied No

93.5%

Volume

$4.3k

CLOB

Traders

241 trades

Yes 6.5%No 93.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

6.0% → 6.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$902

Buy

$968

Sell

$66

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.5k

Buy

$1.6k

Sell

$101

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($902)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($4.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:00:18

108.7¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-05 16:00:18

1250.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:36:53

94.0¢$5

YESBUY2026-08-05 15:36:53

6.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-05 15:36:44

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0380…073d	$748	$703	$45	$-658
0x5a21…9318	$706	$664	$42	$-621
0xd23f…94a1	$502	$458	$44	$-414
0x8373…f0bc	$344	$323	$21	$-303

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x0380…073d	282	$11.2k	$-9.9k	16
0x4c5e…8819	13	$10.4k	$-5.6k	2
0x5a21…9318	323	$10.3k	$-9.1k	16
0x94cb…64e3	134	$9.6k

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