0xd73a3ca0e0544f2b5bd4f32fca4a7d4fb691a260b431f5afa58f52a41c13d896
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?” trades at 86% YES on Polymarket with $71.5k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 85.5% · CLOB volume $71.5k · whales 24h net $1.4k (19 wallets) · 7d net $12.8k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
85.5%
Yes
Implied No
14.5%
No
Volume
$71.5k
CLOB
Traders
449
2,422 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
85.0% → 85.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$2.0k
Sell
$643
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$12.8k
Buy
$18.2k
Sell
$5.3k
Whales
62
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $10.1k | $8.1k | $2.1k | $-6.0k |
| 0x30b7…e81c | $4.8k | $4.3k | $496 | $-3.8k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $3.7k | $2.8k | $938 | $-1.9k |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | $2.9k | $1.7k | $1.2k | $-436 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 61 | $12.8k | $-7.7k | 2 |
| 0x36c2…2b8c | 71 | $7.9k | $5.9k | 1 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | 145 | $5.6k | $-4.4k | 2 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 57 | $5.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
open · $71.5k
85.5%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
open · $75.1k
14.5%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.6k | $2.6k | $0 | $-2.6k |
| 0x225b…422a | $2.5k | $350 | $2.2k | $1.8k |
| 0x0bef…3b06 | $2.1k | $2.0k | $133 | $-1.8k |
| 0xf1f9…1245 | $2.1k | $2.1k | $0 | $-2.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $2.1k | $1.3k | $801 | $-469 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | $1.5k | $1.3k | $245 | $-1.0k |
| 0x9cd5…9f12 | $1.3k | $336 | $984 | $648 |
| 0x014c…820c | $1.2k | $145 | $1.1k | $908 |
| $-2.2k |
| 2 |
| 0x30b7…e81c | 28 | $4.8k | $-3.8k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 57 | $4.3k | $-1.7k | 2 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 10 | $4.1k | $-615 | 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 80 | $3.9k | $-3.9k | 2 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 69 | $3.6k | $686 | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 27 | $3.1k | $-1.7k | 2 |
