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Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?Active 55 days left

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

0xe4fcc10c0ee2b1c0f6fd9bb8acdf8f009d38cfbf5c614a60e94696fa9da6c209

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.5% · CLOB volume $121.9k · whales 24h net $7.0k (47 wallets) · 7d net $22.7k · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.5%

Yes

Implied No

98.5%

Volume

$121.9k

CLOB

Traders

441

3,094 trades

Yes 1.5%No 98.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

7.0% → 2.0% (-5.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$7.0k

Buy

$19.4k

Sell

$12.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$22.7k

Buy

$37.8k

Sell

$15.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($7.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($22.7k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 05:07:29

101.9¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-06 05:07:29

5263.2¢$20

—BUY2026-08-06 02:52:30

2.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:52:30

97.9¢$12

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:52:30

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xed10…d2e5	$22.4k	$21.6k	$831	$-20.7k
0xa314…1c47	$20.1k	$10.0k	$10.2k	$214
0x5cad…2bdd	$10.4k	$5.6k	$4.7k	$-904
0x279c…2b82	$8.7k	$4.4k	$4.4k	$33

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x31ab…86cf	17	$48.3k	$-16.7k	1
0xed10…d2e5	113	$38.4k	$-23.6k	2
0x993f…3ee3	122	$36.0k	$-24.7k	3
0x2d99…4ca3	4	$32.2k

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