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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Active 147 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

0xead958c3c7b6843fe15731812a148ee5bd69665b5ae58365d4ccfcc8f20d14e8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 43.5% · CLOB volume $82.4k · whales 24h net $7.7k (45 wallets) · 7d net $40.4k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

43.5%

Yes

Implied No

56.5%

Volume

$82.4k

CLOB

Traders

293

1,565 trades

Yes 43.5%No 56.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

51.0% → 43.0% (-8.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$7.7k

Buy

$15.9k

Sell

$8.2k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$40.4k

Buy

$81.7k

Sell

$41.3k

Whales

116

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($7.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($40.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 43.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 03:38:18

57.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-06 03:38:18

175.4¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:43:42

57.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-06 02:43:42

175.4¢$9

NOBUY2026-08-06 01:40:56

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xbaa2…2c73	$26.1k	$18.2k	$7.9k	$-10.3k
0xb4f2…e5fa	$12.7k	$5.4k	$7.3k	$1.9k
0x28a3…869e	$9.1k	$4.4k	$4.7k	$340
0x3007…763a	$6.8k	$3.3k	$3.5k	$199

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	166	$36.3k	$-17.9k	3
0xb4f2…e5fa	58	$20.5k	$1.9k	2
0x60a9…5a71	30	$14.7k	$-3.7k	2
0x28a3…869e	19	$9.1k

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