0xec2ecbfc3000e9926526ed7ddc3fdf95a276318c561196eb755f7139d6204004
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 35% YES on Polymarket with $35.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 35.0% · CLOB volume $35.4k · whales 24h net $729 (15 wallets) · 7d net $1.7k · 46/46 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
35.0%
Yes
Implied No
65.0%
No
Volume
$35.4k
CLOB
Traders
197
1,257 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
42.0% → 29.0% (-13.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$729
Buy
$1.5k
Sell
$814
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.7k
Buy
$3.9k
Sell
$2.3k
Whales
32
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x000d…758e | $4.5k | $3.3k | $1.2k | $-2.1k |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | $4.3k | $2.1k | $2.2k | $45 |
| 0x0d4f…000e | $4.2k | $2.5k | $1.7k | $-788 |
| 0x1c4c…8d85 | $3.0k | $1.2k | $1.8k | $531 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 206 | $29.9k | $-7.5k | 9 |
| 0x6f40…eb64 | 150 | $22.3k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 180 | $18.6k | $-14.9k | 13 |
| 0x0d4f…000e | 681 | $15.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
46 open · 46 total · Event board
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.6k
94.3%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $34.5k
91.5%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $20.3k
91.0%
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $18.5k
87.5%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.2k
87.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
80.0%
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.9k
73.0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.0k
66.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $15.3k
58.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $13.9k
56.0%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $35.4k
35.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.2k
32.5%
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $12.4k
26.5%
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.6k
24.5%
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $17.2k
20.5%
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.3k
18.5%
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $37.9k
16.0%
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.7k
12.5%
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
11.6%
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.2k
11.5%
| 0x0403…a7ee | $2.9k | $1.6k | $1.3k | $-339 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.7k | $2.7k | $0 | $-2.7k |
| 0x55f3…cada | $2.0k | $641 | $1.4k | $713 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $1.6k | $1.3k | $380 | $-889 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | $1.6k | $1.0k | $525 | $-511 |
| 0xfbe2…6f8d | $1.5k | $1.5k | $24 | $-1.5k |
| 0x5d2f…24de | $1.2k | $378 | $864 | $487 |
| 0x7b51…3302 | $1.0k | $500 | $544 | $44 |
| $-1.4k |
| 6 |
| 0x6491…74b2 | 445 | $15.1k | $-1.6k | 14 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 367 | $13.0k | $-13.0k | 30 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 500 | $11.0k | $-5.5k | 45 |
| 0x9feb…bbc3 | 118 | $10.5k | $-1.2k | 5 |
| 0x5a0d…c6be | 319 | $10.0k | $-5.7k | 23 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 244 | $9.5k | $-5.0k | 33 |
