Multi-outcome · 7 open
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $102.7k
59.6%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $90.2k
23.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $51.0k
8.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $53.1k
3.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $68.0k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $40.1k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $30.0k
1.8%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xb0fc…ce0b6 mkts · $124.6k
- 0xc602…7fc15 mkts · $21.0k
- 0x321e…92925 mkts · $16.6k
- 0x167a…91d55 mkts · $16.2k
- 0xeed8…35f07 mkts · $15.7k
- 0x21ff…0d717 mkts · $15.0k
- 0x73bb…94732 mkts · $14.3k
- 0x29bb…f0f46 mkts · $14.2k
- 0xe457…5ab35 mkts · $12.1k
- 0xff7c…b2332 mkts · $10.6k
- 0x1d8c…757a7 mkts · $10.5k
- 0x66a1…80d94 mkts · $10.3k
- 0xb0c8…fe7f7 mkts · $9.9k
- 0x6640…22021 mkts · $9.2k
- 0x1387…55f87 mkts · $7.8k