0x761b434b358af3e666e36d33a6c3dbfe05bd151957729f62f6820c1c2f98e9b8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?” trades at 24% YES on Polymarket with $90.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 23.9% · CLOB volume $90.2k · whales 24h net $839 (15 wallets) · 7d net $3.1k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
23.9%
Yes
Implied No
76.0%
No
Volume
$90.2k
CLOB
Traders
245
1,960 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
20.2% → 24.5% (+4.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$839
Buy
$1.9k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.1k
Buy
$6.1k
Sell
$3.0k
Whales
40
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $19.4k | $11.3k | $8.1k | $-3.1k |
| 0x73bb…9473 | $12.5k | $1.9k | $10.5k | $8.6k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $10.6k | $7.4k | $3.2k | $-4.2k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $9.4k | $5.8k | $3.6k | $-2.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 1,059 | $124.6k | $-7.9k | 6 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 197 | $21.0k | $-9.4k | 5 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 207 | $16.6k | $-6.7k | 5 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | 145 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 7 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $102.7k
59.4%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $90.2k
23.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $51.0k
8.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $53.1k
3.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $68.0k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $40.1k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $30.0k
1.8%
| 0x167a…91d5 | $7.0k | $5.6k | $1.3k | $-4.3k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $4.8k | $3.4k | $1.4k | $-2.0k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.9k | $3.9k | $0 | $-3.9k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $3.5k | $2.4k | $1.1k | $-1.3k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $3.2k | $2.5k | $734 | $-1.7k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $2.9k | $317 | $2.6k | $2.3k |
| 0x94d6…9ab8 | $2.4k | $1.1k | $1.3k | $191 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | $2.4k | $2.4k | $0 | $-2.4k |
| $-9.7k |
| 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 275 | $15.7k | $-7.5k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 251 | $15.0k | $-14.9k | 7 |
| 0x73bb…9473 | 91 | $14.3k | $8.5k | 2 |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | 150 | $14.2k | $2.8k | 6 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 164 | $12.1k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 90 | $10.6k | $-2.4k | 2 |
