Multi-outcome · 36 open · 1 closed hidden

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Volume $359.1kTraders 357Trades 9,750

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $15.6k
91.0%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.0k
50.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $16.5k
42.5%
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
18.6%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $132.0k
15.3%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
6.6%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.6k
6.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $12.7k
6.3%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.3k
5.3%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.4k
5.1%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $23.5k
5.0%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
5.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
5.0%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.9k
4.7%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.0k
4.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
4.4%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $731
4.4%
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
4.1%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.8k
4.1%
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.2k
4.0%
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
4.0%
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.8k
3.9%
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.2k
3.8%
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.2k
3.6%
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.6k
3.5%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.9k
3.2%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.7k
3.0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.7k
3.0%
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.4k
2.9%
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.7k
2.5%
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
2.4%
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $921
2.4%
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
2.3%
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.3k
2.1%
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
1.3%
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
1.2%

Probability ladder · open only

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