0xaf3cedd2d7a2ba80dfc59afa64994b721beed1cd29ace34fc2aab380a976aea8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $2.8k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 4.1% · CLOB volume $2.8k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $497 · 36/37 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.1%
Yes
Implied No
95.9%
No
Volume
$2.8k
CLOB
Traders
31
126 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$497
Buy
$945
Sell
$448
Whales
7
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd12f…e85a | $1.2k | $792 | $451 | $-342 |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | $794 | $525 | $269 | $-256 |
| 0xf33e…0ab8 | $709 | $516 | $193 | $-322 |
| 0x2a20…89d2 | $483 | $336 | $147 | $-188 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3ed6…1ba2 | 75 | $59.0k | $-53.1k | 1 |
| 0x8f7b…2a5f | 86 | $41.1k | $28.1k | 1 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 167 | $32.0k | $-23.2k | 18 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 388 | $23.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
36 open · 37 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $15.6k
91.0%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.0k
50.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $16.5k
42.5%
Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
closed · $112
32.5%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $132.0k
15.3%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
7.6%
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
6.9%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.6k
6.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $12.7k
6.3%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.3k
5.5%
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.2k
5.5%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.4k
5.1%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $23.5k
5.0%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
5.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
5.0%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.9k
4.7%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
4.4%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $731
4.4%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.0k
4.3%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.8k
4.2%
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $467 | $467 | $0 | $-467 |
| 0xd62b…ceec | $293 | $194 | $99 | $-95 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $248 | $194 | $54 | $-140 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | $212 | $200 | $12 | $-188 |
| 0xba6c…618b | $124 | $98 | $26 | $-72 |
| 0xe50e…45c5 | $111 | $59 | $52 | $-7 |
| 0x150c…1c8d | $104 | $104 | $0 | $-104 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $77 | $77 | $0 | $-77 |
| $-16.4k |
| 15 |
| 0x970a…7016 | 30 | $14.0k | $8.0k | 1 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | 688 | $10.5k | $-1.7k | 30 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 381 | $9.7k | $-4.4k | 26 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 125 | $9.5k | $-2.9k | 11 |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | 167 | $7.6k | $-2.6k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 116 | $6.7k | $-6.7k | 16 |
