0x10daf016e313293b6a15086e9b04fb1281cd88afc21fc2a782ad475c465601a4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?” trades at 51% YES on Polymarket with $5.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 51.0% · CLOB volume $5.3k · whales 24h net $243 (20 wallets) · 7d net $2.8k · 12/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
51.0%
Yes
Implied No
49.0%
No
Volume
$5.3k
CLOB
Traders
70
302 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
49.0% → 42.0% (-7.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$243
Buy
$610
Sell
$367
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.8k
Buy
$5.2k
Sell
$2.5k
Whales
51
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | $2.6k | $1.4k | $1.2k | $-194 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | $1.2k | $860 | $329 | $-531 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | $436 | $336 | $100 | $-236 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | $372 | $284 | $88 | $-197 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | 643 | $26.3k | $5.5k | 13 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | 292 | $11.0k | $-6.9k | 10 |
| 0x04cf…5224 | 81 | $9.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0xc6fd…53df | 7 | $9.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
12 open · 14 total · Event board
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?
closed · $18.3k
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October?
closed · $591
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
51.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
41.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
24.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
20.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $17.8k
9.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $8.6k
4.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
| 0x625b…22cf | $301 | $224 | $77 | $-146 |
| 0xbc42…790f | $284 | $195 | $89 | $-105 |
| 0x7a38…d6ab | $262 | $189 | $73 | $-116 |
| 0xd610…a87f | $165 | $100 | $65 | $-35 |
| 0x8e15…a0ee | $161 | $100 | $61 | $-39 |
| 0x4959…a6f5 | $153 | $153 | $0 | $-153 |
| 0x9d4d…6d87 | $140 | $82 | $58 | $-24 |
| 0x30fb…7db4 | $134 | $134 | $0 | $-134 |
| $9.0k |
| 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 60 | $9.0k | $-8.5k | 9 |
| 0x731a…033f | 5 | $8.3k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | 169 | $6.3k | $-3.6k | 12 |
| 0x4a0b…7a11 | 8 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | 158 | $5.2k | $-4.1k | 9 |
| 0x7c9d…acff | 76 | $4.4k | $-2.5k | 3 |
