0xdbcce974fd7d4a89d0fe383c25399ea5a8054381a3ff53d4fa3fd423fac383be
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?” trades at 20% YES on Polymarket with $16.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 20.0% · CLOB volume $16.5k · whales 24h net $1.4k (35 wallets) · 7d net $8.5k · 12/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
20.0%
Yes
Implied No
80.0%
No
Volume
$16.5k
CLOB
Traders
114
501 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
18.0% → 22.0% (+4.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$2.0k
Whales
35
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.5k
Buy
$16.9k
Sell
$8.3k
Whales
93
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | $5.6k | $2.6k | $3.0k | $439 |
| 0xa53b…4021 | $2.9k | $1.5k | $1.4k | $-57 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | $2.8k | $2.5k | $301 | $-2.2k |
| 0x7c9d…acff | $1.4k | $1.0k | $351 | $-685 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | 643 | $26.3k | $5.5k | 13 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | 292 | $11.0k | $-6.9k | 10 |
| 0x04cf…5224 | 81 | $9.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0xc6fd…53df | 7 | $9.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
12 open · 14 total · Event board
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?
closed · $18.3k
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October?
closed · $591
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
50.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
45.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
25.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
20.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $17.7k
9.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $8.6k
5.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
| 0xce83…5b97 | $983 | $600 | $383 | $-217 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | $976 | $829 | $147 | $-682 |
| 0x1018…7264 | $960 | $241 | $719 | $478 |
| 0xeec5…b6fe | $932 | $804 | $128 | $-676 |
| 0x52eb…67ac | $769 | $769 | $0 | $-769 |
| 0x3032…99e7 | $758 | $700 | $58 | $-642 |
| 0x6ffd…a637 | $714 | $174 | $541 | $367 |
| 0x7994…c512 | $676 | $245 | $431 | $186 |
| $9.0k |
| 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 60 | $9.0k | $-8.5k | 9 |
| 0x731a…033f | 5 | $8.3k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | 169 | $6.3k | $-3.6k | 12 |
| 0x4a0b…7a11 | 8 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | 158 | $5.2k | $-4.1k | 9 |
| 0x7c9d…acff | 76 | $4.4k | $-2.5k | 3 |
