0xa3a2bf0cf7a8e639401b40de5ddb93049446673c2c75d03845d81fd3375efc82
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?” trades at 42% YES on Polymarket with $8.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 41.5% · CLOB volume $8.8k · whales 24h net $1.8k (29 wallets) · 7d net $4.7k · 12/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
41.5%
Yes
Implied No
58.5%
No
Volume
$8.8k
CLOB
Traders
81
401 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
45.0% → 55.0% (+10.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$3.5k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
29
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.7k
Buy
$9.3k
Sell
$4.6k
Whales
62
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x403f…94f1 | $1.9k | $1.2k | $643 | $-594 |
| 0x982a…6851 | $1.8k | $916 | $910 | $-6 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | $1.3k | $1.0k | $241 | $-776 |
| 0x7994…c512 | $914 | $382 | $532 | $151 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | 643 | $26.3k | $5.5k | 13 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | 292 | $11.0k | $-6.9k | 10 |
| 0x04cf…5224 | 81 | $9.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0xc6fd…53df | 7 | $9.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
12 open · 14 total · Event board
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?
closed · $18.3k
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October?
closed · $591
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
50.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
41.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
24.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
19.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $18.7k
8.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $9.5k
2.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
| 0xa540…0b43 | $781 | $781 | $0 | $-781 |
| 0xcdba…3b6f | $766 | $416 | $350 | $-66 |
| 0x777f…a1bb | $709 | $358 | $351 | $-7 |
| 0xd610…a87f | $590 | $220 | $370 | $150 |
| 0x8e15…a0ee | $430 | $236 | $194 | $-42 |
| 0x3bbc…b669 | $411 | $224 | $188 | $-36 |
| 0x3187…1df4 | $356 | $356 | $0 | $-356 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $355 | $153 | $202 | $49 |
| $9.0k |
| 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 60 | $9.0k | $-8.5k | 9 |
| 0x731a…033f | 5 | $8.3k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0x7c9d…acff | 99 | $6.5k | $-4.4k | 3 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | 169 | $6.3k | $-3.6k | 12 |
| 0x4a0b…7a11 | 8 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | 158 | $5.2k | $-4.1k | 9 |
