0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $3.24M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.6% · CLOB volume $3.24M · whales 24h net $2.5k (17 wallets) · 7d net $29.6k · 3/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.6%
Yes
Implied No
96.3%
No
Volume
$3.24M
CLOB
Traders
4,491
58,381 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.8% → 3.6% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.5k
Buy
$3.2k
Sell
$724
Whales
17
Last 7 days
Net flow
$29.6k
Buy
$99.4k
Sell
$69.8k
Whales
135
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x152f…a549 | $244.5k | $13.2k | $231.3k | $218.2k |
| 0x41b4…dad2 | $176.5k | $9.2k | $167.3k | $158.1k |
| 0xde7b…5f4b | $95.1k | $95.1k | $0 | $-95.1k |
| 0x052f…53fb | $31.5k | $31.5k | $0 | $-31.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | 487 | $301.9k | $268.6k | 2 |
| 0x152f…a549 | 119 | $244.5k | $218.2k | 1 |
| 0xde7b…5f4b | 6 | $95.1k | $-95.1k | 1 |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 80 | $62.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 23 total · Event board
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.12M
96.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $3.24M
3.6%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $4.81M
0.1%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $2.00M
0.1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.95M
0.1%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.83M
0.1%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.80M
0.1%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.78M
0.1%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.77M
0.1%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.75M
0.1%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.62M
0.1%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.55M
0.1%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.50M
0.1%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.40M
0.1%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.37M
0.1%
| 0x6575…b198 | $29.9k | $29.9k | $0 | $-29.9k |
| 0x712f…9fe6 | $28.6k | $28.6k | $0 | $-28.6k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $26.0k | $22.7k | $3.3k | $-19.4k |
| 0xa30e…49d5 | $25.7k | $17.8k | $7.9k | $-9.9k |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $24.2k | $24.1k | $56 | $-24.0k |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | $23.8k | $23.8k | $0 | $-23.8k |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $22.5k | $15.1k | $7.4k | $-7.7k |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $20.2k | $18.8k | $1.4k | $-17.4k |
| $-35.3k |
| 2 |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | 7 | $53.9k | $-53.9k | 2 |
| 0x052f…53fb | 4 | $52.3k | $-52.3k | 2 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 89 | $45.4k | $-30.0k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 318 | $44.2k | $-2.0k | 2 |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | 76 | $38.9k | $-35.6k | 2 |
| 0xa30e…49d5 | 70 | $38.5k | $-12.6k | 2 |
